Indian equity
benchmarks recouped their early losses to settle at fresh record closing high
levels in volatile trade on Wednesday, amid buying in Banking, TECK and IT
shares, and gains in European markets. Markets opened on a weak note and
witnessed a sharp decline during the first half as traders remained cautious
with Icra's report stating that amid continuing lower supplies, the borrowing
cost for states fell to a 32-week low of 7.40 per cent Tuesday, down by 4 bps
from the previous week's auctions. Throughout January, the interest rates were
hovering at a two-year high of close to 7.9 per cent. Traders overlooked
provisional data from the NSE showing that foreign institutional investors
(FIIs) net bought shares worth Rs 574.28 crore on March 5, 2024. However, key
indices staged a sharp recovery in the second half and closed with strong gains
as traders found support with buying interest in the banking stocks amid
CareEdge Ratings' report that bad loans of banks in India have reached record
lows due to recoveries from defaulters and regularisation of payments
many-fold. Some support also came as Crisil Ratings projected India's GDP
growth at 6.8 per cent in the next fiscal and said the country will become an
upper middle-income nation by 2031 with the economy doubling to $7 trillion.
Crisil said the Indian economy will take support from domestic structural
reforms and cyclical levers and can retain -- perhaps even improve -- its
growth prospects to become the third largest economy by 2031. Traders also took
a note of the Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare's latest report
stating that the enrolment under the Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY)
increased by 27% in current year so far. Also, it said that 42% of total
farmers insured under the scheme in FY 2023-24 are non-loanee farmers. Finally,
the BSE Sensex rose 408.86 points or 0.55% to 74,085.99 and the CNX Nifty was
up by 117.75 points or 0.53% to 22,474.05.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday. The rebound on markets reflected a positive reaction to
congressional testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Powell told the
House Financial Services Committee it will likely be appropriate for the Fed to
begin lowering interest rates at some point this year, although he reiterated
officials need greater confidence inflation is moving sustainably toward 2
percent. The Fed Chief described the economic outlook as uncertain and said
progress towards the Fed's 2 percent inflation objective is not assured. Powell
said future interest rate decisions will be based on careful assessment of the
incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. On the economic
data front, a report released by payroll processor ADP showed private sector
employment in the U.S. increased by slightly less than expected in the month of
February. ADP said private sector employment rose by 140,000 jobs in February
after climbing by an upwardly revised 111,000 jobs in January. Street had
expected private sector employment to grow by 150,000 jobs compared to the
addition of 107,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. On the
sectoral front, Semiconductor stocks turned in a strong performance on the day,
with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surging by 2.4 percent to a record
closing high. Considerable strength was also visible among computer hardware
stocks, as reflected by the 1.8 percent jump by the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware
Index. The index also reached a record closing high.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday after data from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed
large declines in gasoline and distillate stockpiles in the week ended March
2nd. Data from EIA showed gasoline stocks dropped by 4.5 million barrels last
week, nearly three times the expected decline of 1.6 million barrels, while
distillate stockpiles were down 4.1 million barrels in the week, substantially
larger than an expected decline of 665,000 barrels. However, data from EIA
showed crude oil stockpiles rose by 1.4 million barrels last week, less than an
expected increase of 2.1 million barrels. Benchmark crude oil futures for April
delivery rose $0.98 or about 1.25% to settle at $79.13 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for May delivery was up by $0.92 or about
1.12% to $82.96 per barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended higher against
the dollar on Wednesday buoyed by a weak American currency against major rivals
overseas and a rally in domestic equities. Investors got support as Crisil
Ratings projected India's GDP growth at 6.8 per cent in the next fiscal and
said the country will become an upper middle-income nation by 2031 with the
economy doubling to $7 trillion. Crisil said the Indian economy will take
support from domestic structural reforms and cyclical levers and can retain --
perhaps even improve -- its growth prospects to become the third largest
economy by 2031. On the global front, U.S. dollar was largely steady on
Wednesday, as traders avoided making large bets ahead of congressional
testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, as well as the European
Central Bank rate decision and U.S. jobs data later this week. Finally, the
rupee ended at 82.85 (Provisional), stronger by 5 paise from its previous close
of 82.90 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 14304.65 crore against gross
selling of Rs 14526.00 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 1952.09 crore with gross sales of Rs 1154.75 crore. Besides, in the
hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 74.62 crore against gross selling of
Rs 35.87 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday after US Fed Chief Jerome Powell's reiteration that interest rate
cuts will begin this year but not immediately. Asian markets are trading mixed
on Thursday with investors awaiting trade data from Australia and China. Indian
markets staged a smart recovery in the last hour of trade, helping these
indices hit fresh record highs, amid a sharp swing in banking and financial
shares. Today, markets are likely to extend previous session's record run with
gap-up opening tracking firm cues from Wall Street overnight. Foreign fund
inflows likely to aid domestic sentiments. Foreign institutional investors
(FIIs) net bought shares worth Rs 2,766.75 crore on March 6, provisional data
from the NSE showed. Traders will be taking encouragement as RBI Governor
Shaktikanta Das said the economic growth in the current financial year could be
close to 8 per cent in view of the third quarter GDP data released by the
government. Governor Das said that overall the economy is doing very well,
citing improvement in fiscal consolidation, current account deficit and price
situation. Also, Acuite Ratings & Research in a report said the optimism on
the domestic economy seems to be improving by the month with NSO revising its
GDP growth estimate to 7.6 per cent for FY24 and pegging Q3 growth at 8.4 per
cent, RBI's economic growth forecast at 7.0 per cent in FY25, headline
inflation subsiding to around 5.0 per cent, core inflation dropping below 4.0
per cent. However, there may be some volatility in the markets ahead of long
weekend holiday as markets will remain close on Friday on account of
Mahashivratri. Some cautiousness may come as Department for Promotion of
Industry and Internal Trade data showed that foreign direct equity (FDI)
investments contracted by 21 per cent Y-o-Y to $41.31 billion during the
calendar year 2023. The sustained contraction in investment inflows comes
against the backdrop of uncertainties and challenges in the global economy.
This includes factors such as high inflation and slowdown in developed
countries. FMCG sector stocks will be in focus with a private report that the
Indian fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector is expected to see subdued
growth up until the September quarter of the ongoing calendar year. Clearly
continuing weakness in demand -- not just in rural parts but also in urban
areas -- is taking a toll. There will be some reaction in healthcare industry
stocks with a private report that healthcare innovation in India, currently
valued at $30 billion, is expected to double by FY28. It added pegged at $180
billion in FY23, India's overall healthcare market is projected to grow at a
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12 per cent to $320 billion by the same
time. Meanwhile, Mukka Proteins is set to make its stock market debut on
Thursday at an issue price of Rs 28 per share.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
22,474.05
|
22,299.86
|
22,572.71
|
BSE
Sensex
|
74,085.99
|
73,554.55
|
74,384.34
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
517.82
|
151.75
|
148.89
|
153.64
|
State
Bank of India
|
267.11
|
783.70
|
774.30
|
791.70
|
ICICI
Bank
|
217.96
|
1099.00
|
1081.69
|
1114.94
|
HDFC
Bank
|
212.05
|
1442.85
|
1433.31
|
1452.61
|
ONGC
|
168.07
|
280.50
|
274.60
|
285.35
|
- Infosys has renewed its digital
innovation partnership with the ATP Tour until 2026.
- ONGC has received an approval for
investment of additional equity of Rs 99 crore in ONGC Green.
- LTIMindtree has executed a SHA
with Global Digital for setting up a Joint Venture in the Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia.
- Wipro, Magna and General Motors
have teamed up to develop a B2B sales platform for buying and selling
automotive software.